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Business

Coinbase Cut 14 Per Cent of Its Workforce Two Days Before Earnings — and Brian Armstrong's Memo Says AI Did It

Coinbase will lay off roughly 660 employees and rebuild around AI-native pods, two days before reporting a quarter in which revenue fell 26 per cent and trading volume hit an 18-month low.

By James Gray··3 min read
Coinbase Cut 14 Per Cent of Its Workforce Two Days Before Earnings — and Brian Armstrong's Memo Says AI Did It

Key Points

  • Coinbase will lay off roughly 660 employees and rebuild around AI-native pods, two days before reporting a quarter in which revenue fell 26 per cent and trading volume hit an 18-month low.

Brian Armstrong cut roughly 660 jobs at Coinbase on Tuesday — 14 per cent of the workforce — and timed the announcement two days before the company reports a quarter in which revenue fell 26 per cent and trading volume hit an 18-month low.

The CEO's memo to staff, sent in the early hours of May 5, framed the cuts as a structural rebuild rather than a defensive cost trim. Coinbase will collapse its management layers, eliminate "pure manager" roles, and reorganise into what Armstrong called AI-native pods — small teams, sometimes just one engineer, designed to ship code with minimal coordination overhead. Customer support, compliance monitoring, and internal operations are all being routed through automated systems. "Over the past year, I've watched engineers use AI to ship in days what used to take a team weeks," Armstrong wrote.

The numbers behind the timing are unflattering. Coinbase reports its Q1 results on May 7, and the consensus is brutal: revenue of around $1.5 billion, down 26 per cent year-on-year, with earnings per share dropping from $1.94 to 36 cents. Spot trading volumes for the quarter were the lowest since October 2024. Cutting headcount before that print lets management own the narrative — the cost cuts become forward-looking instead of reactive.

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Severance is generous on paper. US employees will receive at least 16 weeks of base pay plus two additional weeks for every year of service, the next equity vest, and six months of COBRA health coverage. International staff get equivalent terms where local law permits. None of which softens the access revocation that Armstrong said would be immediate; laid-off employees lose their badges and systems on the way out.

Coinbase's headcount at the end of 2025 was 4,951. After this round, it falls to roughly 4,290 — still a third larger than the 3,200-employee floor the company hit during the 2022 layoffs. The pattern is familiar. Crypto exchange revenue is cyclical, the equity market punishes operating leverage on the way down, and the C-suite cuts to defend margins. What's different this time is the framing. Armstrong is not blaming the cycle. He is blaming the technology.

That framing is convenient. AI-native is the corporate phrase of 2026, and every public-company CEO has a reason to deploy it on a job cut. But the underlying claim — that small AI-augmented teams are out-shipping larger ones — is one Coinbase has been demonstrating internally for at least a year. The Base layer-2 team, which has become the company's most visible product surface, runs lean. The Onchain Summer engineering effort is similar. If the model works in those teams, exporting it to the rest of the company is a defensible decision; whether it works equally well in compliance and customer support is the question the next two earnings cycles will answer.

The market liked the cut. Coinbase shares were up roughly 4 per cent in pre-market trading on the news, and analyst notes flagged the move as accretive to 2026 operating margins regardless of where revenue lands. Wall Street has been waiting for crypto exchanges to prove they can run the same operating-leverage playbook the rest of fintech has spent three years on. Robinhood reported a 47 per cent crypto revenue decline in Q1 last week and pivoted its narrative to tokenisation. Coinbase is now pivoting to AI. The story keeps changing because the trading line keeps shrinking.

The strategic risk is concentration. AI-native pods work when the underlying tooling is mature; they fail badly when an automated compliance flow misses a sanctions match or a single-engineer pod ships a bug that drains user funds. Coinbase has the most sophisticated regulatory surface area of any US crypto exchange, and the Securities and Exchange Commission spent two years arguing the company was an unregistered exchange in court. That case settled in 2024, but the regulatory expectations did not relax.

Rivals will read the memo carefully. Gemini just secured the only crypto-owned CFTC clearinghouse licence in the country and is expanding headcount. Kraken, fresh off the Bitnomial deal, is building out its derivatives staff. The argument that the next phase of crypto-exchange competition will be won by the leanest engineering team rather than the deepest licence stack is a bet Coinbase is making alone for now.

Armstrong closed the memo with a line about emerging "leaner, faster, and more efficient." The earnings call on Thursday will be the first test of whether the market believes him.

MiningPool content is intended for information and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or legal advice.

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