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Twenty One Wrote $402 Million Off Its Bitcoin Book in Q2

Ninety-seven per cent of the treasury company's quarterly loss came from a single mark-to-market line. New CEO Raphael Zagury told shareholders the pure-holder model is over.

By Tom Chen··3 min read
Twenty One Wrote $402 Million Off Its Bitcoin Book in Q2

Key Points

  • Ninety-seven per cent of the treasury company's quarterly loss came from a single mark-to-market line.
  • New CEO Raphael Zagury told shareholders the pure-holder model is over.

Twenty One Capital reported a $413.5 million net loss for the second quarter on Tuesday, and $401.5 million of it came from a single line: the fair-value markdown on the 43,514 bitcoin the company holds. Bitcoin's slide from its April highs to the mid-$60,000s by June did the rest. Almost every dollar of red ink was mechanical.

The new CEO used the quarter's letter to argue that arithmetic is precisely the problem. Raphael Zagury, who replaced Jack Mallers on 20 July after the collapse of Tether's proposed three-way merger with Strike and Elektron Energy, told shareholders that "Twenty One owns one of the largest Bitcoin balance sheets in the public markets," but that the company must "become more than a Bitcoin treasury" to be worth owning. That is a striking admission from the second-largest publicly traded bitcoin holder outside Strategy, and it lands with the stock reportedly trading at roughly 0.7 times the value of the coins it already owns.

Zagury laid out five priorities: acquiring or building operating businesses, moving into bitcoin-backed lending, expanding into capital markets and M&A, and, notably absent, no promise of continuous bitcoin accumulation for its own sake. The immediate deal on the table is a two-way merger with Elektron Energy, the Zagury-led bitcoin miner that was the third leg of the abandoned Tether structure. Whether that adds operational cash flow or simply glues two subscale companies together will decide how the pivot reads by year-end.

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The bear case is already written into the price. Twenty One's roughly $2.78 billion of bitcoin sits against a market capitalisation the summer has kept well below it: the market is not paying a premium for the treasury; it is discounting it. Metaplanet, the Tokyo-listed accumulator that ended the second quarter with a comparable 43,000 BTC, trades at a different multiple entirely; investors will pay for a leveraged bitcoin proxy when they trust the leverage. When they don't, they mark the equity below the book.

That is the wider problem for the crop of pure bitcoin treasury companies that spun up during the last cycle. Strategy ended the second quarter with 846,000 BTC after an $8.2 billion loss, but it retains the largest and longest track record; the market forgives Saylor arithmetic it will not forgive newer names. H100 diluted shareholders by 70 per cent earlier this month to triple its stack. The playbook of issuing paper to buy coins, then borrowing against the coins to issue more paper, works when the coin price is going up and the equity trades at a premium. In the current tape it does neither.

The transition itself is politically fraught. Twenty One was built as a bitcoin-maximalist vehicle under Mallers, whose public brand is inseparable from Strike, the Lightning-native payments firm he returned to run when the three-way merger fell apart in July. His investor base bought into a company whose stated purpose was to own bitcoin and issue securities against it. Zagury is now telling them the plan is to do something else, and asking them to hold on.

Bitcoin-backed lending has a specific history worth remembering. BlockFi, Celsius, Genesis and Voyager all built businesses around the premise that lending against bitcoin was a durable revenue stream. All four are gone. The survivors, Ledn and Coinbase's institutional desk among them, operate on much tighter collateral terms and much smaller loan books. Zagury has not disclosed the size of the lending business Twenty One intends to build, or the funding source, or the counterparties. Until he does, "we are moving into lending" is a slide, not a plan.

The entire cohort of public bitcoin proxies is now trading as if the market has decided the treasury-only pitch is finished. Strategy still holds ETF-class scale. The rest are being asked to justify themselves as businesses. Twenty One is the first of the newer names to say the quiet part out loud. Zagury inherited a first-half loss of $1.27 billion, a broken merger, a founder gone to a competing brand, and a share price below the treasury's liquidation value. The question is whether shareholders give him the two or three quarters he needs to convert any of that into something other than a bitcoin index.

If they don't, the assets are still worth $2.78 billion, and someone with a cleaner cap table will buy them.

MiningPool content is intended for information and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or legal advice.

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